UPDATE: As will be known to everyoneintheworld, my predictch was not accurate. Here it is in its entirety, anyway…
Congressman Paul Ryan is the pick and it became apparent yesterday, August 10th 2012 as reports came in that Romneys jet had picked him up at his home and that the announcement of the VP would be made in Virginia at the US Wisconsin. Intrade put Rubio at a 1% liklihood and I did not take that bet. Before going to bed, Drudge used language in headlines noting that the pick was Ryan, despite not actually announcing it in a headline. I lost a total of $25 in gambling on the issue.
Here is my reasoning in the original post below….
Prediction: All of this stuff about Ohio senator Rob Portman and former Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty being at the top of the Vice Presidential consideration is bunk. Very clever, very necessary bunk.
For too long (2 full years) it has been said that the GOP VP will be Marco Rubio. You can’t have that kind of buzz for that long and then actually do it. If you’re going to actually do it, you have to misdirect like you’re not going to and make it believable. As soon as I saw leaks saying he wasn’t being considered, I knew (“knew” – but my “know”s are right over 93% of the time).
Also – Biden will stay as Obama’s VP, of course and not switch places with Hillary, as the rumor claims, but astute political observers already know that that buzz is just sensationalism to liven up an otherwise boring side of the aisle.
UPDATE (July 12th 2012): The Drudge Report has a “scoop” that Condi Rice is at the top of the consideration list. Very clever. another dodge to liven up the debate…
It will not be Rice, and should not be Rice even though Romney/Rice was my dream ticket in 2008 to go up against what I thought would be Clinton/Obama. Reasons: The
-VP will not be a woman.
-Condi doesn’t want the position.
-It’s a bad move to pick a Bush cabinet member and Romney knows this.
-She is mildly pro-choice and Romney has vowed to pick a solidly Pro-life VP.
-She doesn’t help the ticket (she’d be a better Chief of Staff than VP).
-She’s never been elected to any political office.
It will be Marco Rubio. and it should be Marco Rubio.
Mark my words, people…. fkkn MARK em.
UPDATE (July 21st 2012): Since 2008 I’ve been saying Romney will be the GOP nominee and since 2010 I’ve been saying his VP will be one Marco Fricken Rubio – after a brief hope and public thinking that it might and maybe should be Louis Fortuno (the governor of Puerto Rico).
I would say “if it isn’t Marco Rubio, it will be Bobby Jindal” but that implies that I think there is a chance that it will not be Rubio. There isn’t. It’s gonna be Rubio. I think. -nah, I’m pretty sure…
Jindal endorsed Rick Perry and that was when I knew he wouldn’t be Romneys VP – not at all because he endorsed a rival (Jindal never said anything negative about Romney in his support for Perry and the two are neighboring Governors so it wasn’t an unexpected endorsement) but because it was just such a dud of a pick to be behind. Those two dont mesh. Romney/Rubio meshes like a clubbing woman’s tank top. Plus, Romney won’t put another governor on the ticket and won’t put another white male on the ticket. The VP will not be a woman, as I’ve said before – thus: it is confirmed it will be El Marcio heh-Rubioso, if there is to be any sense in this world.
Rubio will energize the base and articulate American values well and will blow the freakin place up at the GOP convention – which is ANOTHER sure-thing sign that its gonna be him. THINK people… It is literally impossible that the GOP doesn’t have him speak at their convention – yet he’s not being talked about as having a speaking slot at all, let alone a prime time one or doing the Keynote. The reason is he’s going to be the VP. If he werent – his speech would so overshadow the veeps that it would make everyone wonder why he WASNT picked. Dude. It’s him. Its so him that I cant believe a mass majority of columnists, pundits, news reporters, online media and my friends dont see it… ug…
This is going to be interesting, whichever way it turns out…